Model Evaluation — Gee's Betting Predictor
Calibration snapshot of recent finished matches

Overall Summary

Window: 2025-11-10 → 2025-12-26

Matches evaluated
1013
Avg predicted goals (μH+μA)
2.806
Avg actual goals
2.804
1X2 accuracy
53.8%
BTTS accuracy
54.6%
Over 2.5 accuracy
67.3%

By League

LeagueMatchesAvg predicted goalsAvg actual goals1X2 accuracyBTTS accuracyOver 2.5 accuracy
ENG1602.7603.00055.0%53.3%65.0%
ENG2842.9552.92957.1%48.8%70.2%
ENG3672.5752.58246.3%46.3%64.2%
ENG4732.7192.78146.6%54.8%63.0%
ENG5602.9103.00068.3%43.3%68.3%
ENGNS194.2723.15857.9%42.1%78.9%
ESP1512.6632.43158.8%62.7%64.7%
ESP2682.3362.45639.7%52.9%66.2%
FRA1362.8742.66766.7%52.8%61.1%
FRA2282.4532.21464.3%60.7%60.7%
GER1453.0383.04457.8%57.8%68.9%
GER2452.8142.84453.3%53.3%71.1%
ITA1462.2042.63052.2%58.7%63.0%
ITA2512.4892.51047.1%45.1%64.7%
NED1442.9933.00047.7%54.5%77.3%
NED2613.4283.47549.2%62.3%70.5%
NIR2452.3201.97868.9%75.6%66.7%
SCO1362.2792.27850.0%58.3%61.1%
SCO2242.7402.62550.0%58.3%79.2%
SCO3203.5343.20050.0%50.0%75.0%
SCO4313.7904.19458.1%61.3%77.4%
WAL1193.2493.31652.6%57.9%52.6%